Ai climate research
New research from Ai that studied climate data over time has predicted that our situation may be more dire than previously understood by the scientific community. The research shows that we will likely hit 1.5 degrees human-caused heating, considered the danger zone for tipping points, floods, droughts, and extreme weather events, as soon as 2033.
Climate research from AI shows that:
We will hit 1.5 degrees heating before 2033.
1.5 degrees heating will be our new normal by 2033.
We may hit 2 degrees heating, considered catastrophic, as soon as 2050.
We could hit 3 degrees by 2060 if we don’t do swiftly cut emissions.
Read a roundup of the headlines:
“The planet could cross critical global warming thresholds sooner than previous models have predicted, even with concerted global climate action, according to a new study using machine learning.
The study estimates that the planet could reach 1.5 degrees Celsius of warming above pre-industrial levels in a decade, and found a “substantial possibility” of global temperature rises crossing the 2-degree threshold by mid-century, even with significant global efforts to bring down planet-warming pollution…
Scientists have identified 1.5 degrees of warming as a key tipping point beyond which the chances of extreme flooding, drought, wildfires and food shortages will increase dramatically.
Temperature rises over 2 degrees could bring catastrophic and potentially irreversible impacts, including pushing three billion people into “chronic water scarcity.’”
“A new report has found that significant social change is needed to halt catastrophic climate change — and society isn’t changing fast enough.
This artificial intelligence-based study also found it unlikely that temperature increase could be kept below the more significant 2015 redline of 2 degrees Celsius warming, even with tough emissions cuts.
The algorithm determined that a high-pollution world would cross that threshold by 2050 — while a world with steep emissions cuts would delay it only until 2054…
The view of these scientists was essentially in line with the University of Hamburg’s findings: that attitudes and consumption habits, not technical factors, are the main engines pushing global society down its current path toward severe climate disruption.”
The Hill, Society isn’t changing fast enough to stop climate change: study
“Three leading climate scientists have combined insights from 10 global climate models and, with the help of artificial intelligence (AI), conclude that regional warming thresholds are likely to be reached faster than previously estimated.
The study, published in Environmental Research Letters by IOP Publishing, projects that most land regions as defined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) will likely surpass the critical 1.5°C threshold by 2040 or earlier.
Similarly, several regions are on track to exceed the 3.0°C threshold by 2060 -- sooner than anticipated in earlier studies.
Regions including South Asia, the Mediterranean, Central Europe and parts of sub-Saharan Africa are expected to reach these thresholds faster, compounding risks for vulnerable ecosystems and communities.”
IOP Publishing, AI predicts that most of the world will see temperatures rise to 3C much faster than previously expected